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Iraq is on the rise as a play on conflicts between the United States and Iran while the deadly invasion of Iranian forces is a recent example.
While the Iraqi government condemns the shooting, the change is unlikely because both sides’ presence is important for their foreign policy, investigators say.
The program of The US Air Force went on strike last week at Iranian military bases in Syria and Iraq. Since then, the military has launched drone attacks on US targets throughout Iraq.
Stephen Zunes, a professor of political science at the University of San Francisco, told Al Jazeera that the Iraq war between the US and Iran forces escalated when former Donald Trump administration unveiled an Iranian nuclear deal, known as Iran. JCPOA.
“There has been a low tension between the United States and Iran since the 1980s but it has improved since the US re-established Iran in 2018 even though Iran followed the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action,” Zunes said.
Iran is likely to expect a price increase from the US and increase the likelihood of Washington’s plan to destroy the seven-nation alliance as it destroys much of the country’s economy, Zunes said.
The targets that the U.S. military has targeted have been used by a number of militants, including Kataib Hezbollah, Iraq’s largest military operation, operating under Iranian rule.
Kataib Hezbollah and other militants want the remaining US forces to support the Iraqi army in the fight against ISIL (ISIS).
Four Iraqi soldiers were killed on the border with Syria, while no U.S. military person was injured. But the situation shows how volatile the situation is and how the remaining 2,500 U.S. troops are at risk of being attacked in the region.
Naturally, the most effective way to ensure the safety of US members is to bring them back to the United States, says Zunes.
“The Iraqi parliament voted last year to withdraw US troops from the country, but [US President Joe] Biden has refused to honor their request, “Zunes said.
Dangerous situation
With ISIL having been heavily defeated, there are serious questions about whether the US should retain 2,500 troops in Iraq, especially since their presence could lead to a major war in Iran, adds Zunes.
However, Washington faces challenges, as it appears to be the last resort to defend itself against Iranian hegemony in the Middle East.
Tehran has a strong influence on Syria, Iraq, Lebanon and Yemen, in particular made possible due to the principles of cooperation in Iran, since 1982, when Hezbollah of Lebanon was established with the help of the Revolutionary Guard.
For now, this agreement includes The regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and armed groups such as Hamas and Islamic Jihad. In addition, troops from Pakistan and Afghanistan have been linked to Iran’s Quds Force (QF).
For the US, Iran’s military and non-Iranian military are just political terrorists. Defending the U.S. military has been difficult, and Biden needs to run with caution.
“Biden has shown a willingness to use the Iranian-backed military force, but also recognizes that the threat to Iran or incitement to war could be in the hands of the Iranian forces,” Zunes said.
At the center of the conflict is Iraq.
“The ongoing tensions also show how Iran and the US are competing to help lead Iraq,” adds Zunes.
On payment
Not surprisingly, Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi strongly condemned the recent US protests. They called for “a clear and unconstitutional violation of Iraq and national security,” the Prime Minister said in Baghdad, adding that Iraq was refusing to use its share of “debt repayment”.
However, his criticism did not mean that Iraq had failed to prevent US threats by Kataib Hezbollah, who, as part of the Special Forces (PMF), is on state pay.
As a result of the devastating US disaster, the plague, and falling oil prices, Iran has been forced to cut its military base across the region. As a result, the forces under the PMF umbrella are included relies heavily on funds provided by the Iraqi government.
Unable to curb Iran or the US on its territory, Iraq is now facing a number of challenges that could hamper progress in recent years. Also, the coming election adding another force to the crisis, Simon Mabon, a professor of politics at Lancaster University, told Al Jazeera.
“The process of reducing elections in Iraq is exacerbating the political, economic and economic crisis that has led to protests in recent years. Central to this is the conflicting views on Iraqi political and religious – and Iran – political issues,” Mabon said.
The differences between Iraq and the country’s administration are widespread.
“While some groups are calling for the removal of Iraqi political parties – contemplating or removing religious and political activists – some strongly oppose this,” Mabon said.
What makes the anger even more intense is the frustration over what Iran has done and what the Iranian-backed military has started. violent campaign against those who oppose their vision, says Mabon.
‘Paying the price for the waste’
Iraq therefore finds itself in a thankless position in the midst of US-Iran crisis.
“It is a US demonstration against the Iraqi territory [and Syria]”Once again, the Iraqi people are in the political arena and are paying for the risks,” Mabon said.
In addition, more recent flights are coming as international negotiations are underway to see if the US can return to the JCPOA.
The escalation of the conflict was also due to political tensions between the US and Iran over all JCPOA cases and efforts to establish ties between Tehran and Washington, Mabon said, in particular with the new government leadership.
“By the time the Islamic State votes for a new President, this recovery period is crucial to shaping the future of relations between the two countries and regional politics,” Mabon said.
Both groups are well aware that current developments could affect JCPOA negotiations.
Zunes said, however, that the possibility of the US leaving the table in negotiations is unlikely, and this can only happen if there is no hope of further progress in the alliance.
In the eyes of Biden officials, Iran’s nuclear deal is still a signature of foreign policy, and the JCPOA’s main goal remains.
“Biden recognizes that the renewal of the treaty will prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, which is crucial for the United States,” Zunes said.
While Biden, like almost every U.S. worker, no doubt was hostile to the Iranian government, he understood it was best for both the US and the Middle East to return to the nuclear deal, Zunes concluded.
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