The reason why England abruptly lifted its ban on gambling is a major problem

England is about to take a big gamble.

On Monday, July 19, the country suspended all its epidemic laws. People can go to nightclubs, or gather in large groups as they wish. They will not be forced to wear masks at all, and may stop associating with their peers. The government, in pursuit of the media, has called itself “Freedom Day,” and says raising security measures will not change.

Meanwhile, cases of coronavirus are on the rise in the UK. He filed more than 50,000 cases on Friday, as well as his health minister he says that the number of daily infectious diseases could rise to more than 100,000 in the summer.

Ideally, a full reopening of the case would sound like a burning mix. But the UK government bet that this time it will not be the same as the others because of its vaccine.

The researchers say that it is very difficult to predict what will happen next, with so many types, things that are hard to play. So let’s take a look at what we know, what we don’t know, and what to look forward to in the coming weeks.

What we do know: vaccines are working

The vaccination program in the UK is still in place, but has been very successful so far. Approximately, 52% of adults have been fully vaccinated, and approximately 87% of adults have received their first dose (this includes 52% who received the full dose). Only 6% of Brits are reluctant to shoot, according to Office of National Statistics.

There are many reasons to be afraid, however. The country has several months to eradicate all the elderly. Young people are at high risk; over-18s have just started receiving their first drug, and only a quarter of 18- to 39-year-olds are all shot. And unlike the US and Europe, the UK has not yet vaccinated children.

“This is dangerous,” says entomologist Emilia Skirmuntt. “We need to vaccinate young people urgently, especially before they return to school in September.”

This is important because the biggest covid-19 problem in the UK right now is different from delta. Even people who are fully vaccinated have no reason to worry about delta — they have Pfizer and AstraZeneca vaccines that provide more than 90% of the power in a hospital, according to research Public Health England-In contrast to the bad news for those who have only shot once or have not been vaccinated.

About 60% more shipments than other alpha species, which were once popular in the UK, and are twice as likely to be hospitalized, according to Health Organization in Scotland. Only one dose of AstraZeneca or Pfizer vaccine is only 33% effective against delta change, as opposed to 50% alpha, reports data from Public Health England.

“This opening will bring a lot of damage,” says Deepti Gurdasani, a medical specialist at Queen Mary University in London. “We need to stop reducing it until all adults and young people have been given the drugs.”

What we don’t know: when cases reach a climax

It is clear that the UK is facing another epidemic. What we don’t know is how bad it will be – or how a change of pace could change this. Even experts in the field cannot say for sure.

“It’s very difficult to know what will happen after July 19,” said Graham Medley, professor of communicative medicine at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine and chairman of SPI-M, a group of scientists who advise the UK government on the epidemic model.

Much depends on the nature of the human race, and this is obviously difficult to predict. While some will enjoy their newfound freedom (a practice that was unveiled last week at the end of the European football tournament), others will be very cautious.

Many people are frustrated by the use of masks, one of the most important and effective public health interventions. Mrs. Ipsos Mori research found that many British people are planning to continue wearing masks in shops and cars. If people follow this, it could help spread the spread: Israel, which also has a large number of vaccines, had to re-store clothes in homes last month in the face of other problems.

Regardless, it is possible for cases to continue to rise for a few days, or weeks. And that means more hospitals and deaths are inevitable, according to Medley. The big question is how high this wave is.

In a statement Thursday, Chris Whitty, England’s chief medical officer, said the country could see “dangerous threats” and a sudden turn of events. ”

But the government seems to be betting that not all numbers are equally dangerous. We hope that hospitals will be small enough so that the work of the National Health Service will not be tedious. It is thought that the link between cases and the number of hospitals has dwindled, if not broken.

“These trends are very different from those in the past,” said Oliver Geffen Obregon, a UK specialist who has worked with the World Health Organization. “The number of hospital stays is very low compared to the epidemic prior to the immunization program.”

But not everyone agrees. The NHS bosses are already there sound the alarm on power, and more than 1,200 scientists have signed a letter in Lancet stating that Britain should be wary of a sharp rise in disease rates, regardless of the number of deaths and sleepers.

Gurdasani, a sufferer of the disease, is one of them.

“Cases are important,” he says, pointing to two major risks: increased risk of long-term exposure to covid, as well as the risk of new, vaccinated vaccines.

What we do know: most people take long-term covid

UK has a big problem with long covid. More than two million adults may have complications that last 12 weeks or more, depending on the adult learning from Imperial College London. But long-term covid is poorly understood, with more than 200 symptoms ranging from fatigue to short breaks to memory losses, according to the largest study of it, recently released in Lancet.

About one in 10 of those who have taken covid-19 have continued to produce long covid, according to WHO. This means that if another million people in the UK get sick during this storm – which seems to be possible – there could be another 100,000 people with chronic problems.

Whitty is worried. “I think we’re going to take a very long covid, especially in the younger years when vaccination prices are very low,” he said. He said on July 6th.

This could lead to the NHS, businesses, and the general public, not to mention the many grievances to the general public.

Skirmuntt says: “Some symptoms can last for years, and we have the potential to put our entire generation to good health for the rest of their lives.”

What we don’t know: whether this could lead to some kind of dangerous

The main concern of many experts is that the government’s approach is to create better breeding grounds for vaccine-free use.

On July 5, Steve Paterson, director of the Center for Genomic Research at the University of Liverpool, summed up his concerns in a tweet: . ”