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The CDU hopes the by-elections in the region will disrupt the German Greens

Elections in a small East German region with fewer people than Berlin may have sparked a year-long change that will determine who will succeed Angela Merkel as Europe’s top economist.

Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union won a memorable victory in Island-Anhalt On Sunday, he received 37% of the vote – seven percent more than in previous elections in 2016 with 16 points ahead of second-choice candidates. Another route to Germany (AfD).

The results were very encouraging Armin Laschet, CDU chancellor’s representative in the September Bundestag election, covered in recent weeks by celebrities The greens. But the eco party did miserably in Saxony-Anhalt, gaining only 5.9%.

Many in the CDU say the results confirmed Greens’ greed is disappearing. “They have lost their magic,” said Christoph Ploss, CDU leader in Hamburg.

Saxony-Anhalt can signal the end of dry CDs. The party is affected by a Hypocrisy concerning some of his advisers, a a bitter fight between Laschet and Bavarian Prime Minister Markus Söder over who should represent the chancellor from center-right, and public outcry over a slow start to the Covid-19 vaccine campaign.

Some parties are now hoping the tide will change. The six-month promotion of the closure of coronaviruses and hopes that a healthy summer vacation has strengthened voter sentiment, interpreting CDU support and increasing Laschet.

Encouraged by Sunday’s results, some Christian Democrats resemble a milestone in recent German political history – a victory to destroy of the so-called “Schulz train” in 2017.

That same year, the Social Democrats were on the rise in elections and their leader, Martin Schulz, former President of the European Parliament, appeared. where The removal of Merkel as chancellor in the winter election.

But Wheels resigned after two by-elections that won the CDU: Saarland in March and North Rhine-Westphalia in May. The SPD was able to complete 20.5% of the national election, the worst after the war.

Friedrich Merz, a well-known politician at the CDU, says the same thing could happen to Annalena Baerbock, a Green MP who was on holiday after being elected as the first chancellor in April. “This evening the Baerbock train was wrecked,” he wrote on Twitter Sunday evening.

“Baerbock was fired in exactly the same way as Schulz,” Ploss said. “But now they are testing him with different standards. People are beginning to think about what the Green Government could mean, and they have noticed that much will change as they get worse. “

Martin Schulz, former SPD leader: The future of the Greens has been compared to that of his party, which rose to prominence before a landslide victory in the 2017 election © Christoph Hardt / Geisler-Fotopres

Chancellor’s candidate Annalena Baerbock: Supporting her party is not just a ‘pan’, experts say © Kay Nietfeld / dpa

Asked Monday if he agrees with Schulz’s similarities, Laschet denied. “This analogy is a train – I don’t make it myself,” he said. “[Baerbock] is the one I compete with the most, and I view all competitors honestly. ”

But, he added, what the Greens did in Saxony-Anhalt could not be called a “mega-surge” from Baerbock as the Greens sat in the fifth, behind the Democrats of the Free pro-business, traditionally one of the smaller parties’. now in the Bundestag.

Baerbock’s work was imminent strong winds even before Sunday’s results. He was forced to apologize last month after admitting that he had failed to transfer his money from the Green Party’s leadership to parliament, as he intended, until March. The Greens were also forced to change Official CV local journalists disclosed the errors. He said, for example, that he was a member of the UNHCR and that he was a member of a UN fund-funded refugee program.

However, experts say that comparisons with Schulz are inappropriate. “In 2017 the SPD outbreak grew and exploded within a few months,” said Robert Vehrkamp, ​​a political scientist at the Bertelsmann Foundation, a think tank.

“The Greens have been voting strongly now for the last two [to] three years and I have been consistently doing well in the local elections since then. Sali poto poto. ”

The CDU should also refuse to make too many assumptions about Saxony-Anhalt, experts say. The government, formerly part of East Germany’s communism, accounts for only 3% of the electorate. It is not uncommon to be the capital of the AfD, which gained 21% on Sunday. After a poll said the right party could win, many people were about to step down by changing their allegiance to the CDU. Such voting would not be possible worldwide.

Sunday’s vote does not mean disaster for the Greens, experts say. “Their ship didn’t jump [off] rail, ”said Vehrkampt. “But it is clearly going to be much harder than they expected.”

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