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When Will We Know Where the Chinese Rocket Will Be Destroyed?

The long March 5B rocket, with a Chinese base from Tianhe, leaves the Wenchang Space Launch Center in southern China in Hainan province on April 29, 2021.

The long March 5B rocket, with a Chinese base from Tianhe, leaves the Wenchang Space Launch Center in southern China in Hainan province on April 29, 2021.
Figure: STR / AFP (Getty Images)

An unregulated Chinese rocket must enter Earth’s air this week, but no one is sure exactly when or where the waste will reach. This is why we do not know and, moreoverquickly, where we can expect to find.

In the time of Apollo, the weatherThe time to enter the incoming modules could be predicted until the very moment. Regarding the timing of China’s long March 5b Chinese rocket – landing in the center of the Earth – will landto enter remains an open question, while windows errors go up to 22 hours. Without knowing when to re-enter, predicting what might happen would not happen.

At this writing, Aerospace Corporation to compare that the CZ-5B rocket will eventually fall Earth 11:53 pm EDT Saturday May 8 (03:53 UTC Sunday May 9), with a temporary 11-hour integration, with included it’s happening about 30 minutes earlier, and plus plus nine hours.

Very heavy rocket he found on April 29, but a height of 98 feet in full swing, rather than back a prearranged place on Earth, entered a circle, and established a part of uncontrolled return of space.

About where the waste will end up, is highly uncertain. The most potent region, including North and South America, Africa, Australia, the Middle East, and all southern Eurasia, in addition to the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. The old Aerospace Corporation page, shown below, shows a possible location (horizontal with all major lines) of debris falling.

So why were we able to predict the coming of the Apollo capsules correctly, but not this big part?

“What is needed with the Apollo spacecraft is that it came in orbit from the Moon, that’s why we knew the exact path,” Jonathan McDowell, an astronomer at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, explained to me by phone. “But this rocket travels around the atmosphere – it’s a body that enters the upper atmosphere, and feeds it every time the rocket lands there.”

As a result, it is difficult to predict how hot a rocket will be until it begins to melt and crash that Earth, he said. This depends on the various weapons that the rocket contains, its aviation path, and the variability in the amount of space, which varies. daily due to weather and solar events, according to McDowell.

Specialists on the ground are trying to track the object, observing its height, speed, and other factors, while still changing colors. When we get closer to the actual return date, the predictions will be more accurate. It’s like “trying to predict the weather a week later than tomorrow,” says McDowell, as there are “few things that happen.” He expects the error limit to continue within the next few hours, saying that by Saturday morning it should be up to about six o’clock. hours. Finally, we will come to know when it will fall from heaven. Unfortunately, predicting the location will be impossible before this happens, because “an hour’s error in return time is an 18,000-mile error,” as McDowell explained earlier.

McDowell predicts two possible consequences when we can all determine where the object fell.

“Another possibility is that it will fall in the middle of the Pacific Ocean, because it is the largest part of the Earth,” he said. The US Space Force will know immediately when it re-enters the atmosphere due to infrared telescopes, which will see the explosion of a rocket explode. The program of The Space Force will know “real time to minute” as well as “real time” as it entered the atmosphere, McDowell he said, but the military does not tell us all at once because the same thing is “hidden.”

Space Force “will advertise through various agencies until it is available on the website, and we will act as if we do not know that this came from control satellites,” McDowell said. In its sole discretion, signing, approving, and authorizing the publication of this information takes approximately three hours.

Similar incidents can occur if a rocket passes through an unoccupied area, while the site is exposed about three hours after. But foresight different endings If the pieces fall in the middle they fall on a group of people.

“Then we’ll know about 10 minutes, as people T.Witter will shine a lot, ”he said.

More: Astronomers take a wild picture of a powerless Chinese rocket.

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