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The massive exit of the House Democrats reflects the mid-year crisis

In preparation for the 2020 general election in the United States, Cheri Bustos was one of the Democrats’ campaign leaders, tasked with expanding her party in the House of Representatives.

But his efforts failed and, instead of getting a seat, Democrats lost, losing more than a dozen seats in the lower Congress and coming out with fewer people.

However, it came as a surprise to many in Joe Biden’s party that Bustos, 60, announced his retirement from retirement last year. Since then, another bizarre exit has taken place, with more than a dozen Democrats in the House of Assembly saying they will not seek re-election in November.

The mass exit confirms the limited potential that Democrats will be able to insist on improving the basement in the autumn.

So far, 28 of the 221 House Democrats have stated they will not run in the by-elections, with at least seven lawmakers stepping down from one of the previous seats, one FT poll shows. Another departure is expected in the coming weeks, as the deadline for re-election is imminent.

Just Tuesday, two lawmakers – Jim Langevin of Rhode Island and Jerry McNerney of California – announced they would not run for office.

Regarded as a rising star in the Democratic Party, Bustos is one of only seven “passing” Democrats to win in 2020 even though Donald Trump beat Biden in their respective constituencies. Ron Kind of Wisconsin, who has also said he will not run in the autumn elections, is another.

Both the Bustos and Kind governments – Central West regions with a majority of white voters who previously supported Barack Obama but flocked to Trump and the Republican party in recent years – now look like an opportunity to elect a GOP.

“These are just some of the remaining areas that I call white people that Democrats still have, and they are coming out of the country,” said Kyle Kondik of the University of Virginia Center for Politics.

Another move comes within a decade that sees regional divisions reorganized in some states – events that have often broken down that have led many democratically elected lawmakers to resign rather than fight the ever-increasing number of elections.

Tim Ryan, Ohio Congressman, who is no longer seeking re-election but wants his party to be elected to the US Congress, is stepping down from the Midwestern seat with elected white party members working for Bustos and Kind. But once Ryan won 7.6 points in 2020 against his Republican opponent, any form of his constituency could be eliminated by a Ohio-led conflict resolution led by Republican government officials.

GK Butterfield, a North Carolina Democrat who is re-emerging after the 2020 elections, cited a new election map in his retirement announcement, citing the expected changes – which are a long-standing legal issue – a. racist gerrymander that can undermine the voices of black people.

Ann Kirkpatrick, an Arizona Democrat, has also said he will not run for re-election even if he wins his seat by more than 10 points by 2020. His constituency, which includes almost all of Tucson, is set to favor Republicans heading into autumn. .

“Obviously we are facing a number of challenges,” said Ian Russell, a democratically elected specialist who served for several years on the Democratic DRM Campaign Committee, which works to elect Democrats in the House. “Several swing parts have been removed from the board.”

About half of the retirees of democracy come from the “secure” seats of the Presidential Party. Outgoing candidate Karen Bass, for example, won the 2020 election in Los Angeles – where she is running for mayor – by more than 70 cents. time. Many also point to Biden’s declining acceptance as a cause for concern.

“Having a candidate in the election increases your chances of getting a seat, yes, but a president under water is a bad thing to have these seats, whether there is someone to represent them or not. [not], ”Says Russell.

Republicans say retirees are showing that Democrats of Congress see the writing on the wall, and are stepping down before joining a minority party. In comparison, only 13 members of the Republican House have stated they will not run in the by-elections, and many of them are seeking senior positions, including the US Senate and the governor’s residence.

“It is a sign that [Democrats] see what’s coming, “Tom Emmer, chairman of the National Republican Congress Committee, told Fox News last week.

But while common sense in Washington favors Republicans to reopen the House in November, some Democrats were encouraged by recent Republican announcements.

John Katko, one of 10 Republicans who voted to oust Trump over his January 6 attack on the US Capitol, said last Friday he would not run in the autumn elections. Katko is another example of a “crossover” that won his state of North New York by more than 10 points in 2020 – though Biden carried the region almost the same limit against Trump.

Katko’s seat should also be shared by Democratic officials in New York in a way that favors the presidential party, while such changes could be made in two other New York Republican states – Tom Reed and Lee Zeldin – who have said they will not. election again.

“With the people resting in the Democratic seats, we have more than what the secure Republicans have [retiring]”said Jesse Ferguson, another democratically elected official and former DCCC stalwart.”

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