(This does not mean that firefighters like Calfire are not really good at what they do. The successful relocation of South Lake Tahoe is proof of this: more than 20,000 people did this, before the fire reached the outskirts of town.)
Like a fire, one of the things that controls storms is heat. “The coastal waters are extremely hot,” says Misra, of Florida State University. When Hurricane Ida crossed the Gulf of Mexico, it miraculously fed the warm water, which caused severe storms as the storm began to fall.
Storms are complex, realistic scenarios, which is why there are some things that are played out, such as things that are in the air sometimes. Scientists need more information to understand what is happening in rapid growth. Hot water, says Misra, “does not mean that all the storms that fall in the end will be stronger than the current hurricane. But this should be loud and clear.”
Likewise, the important thing is that the tropics have a lot of moisture. “For the right reasons, when convection occurs, it will squeeze more moisture from the same air in the summer later than it is now,” says Misra. “As a result, the risk of tropical cyclones, whether they increase rapidly or not in the future, will increase, with heavy rainfall.” The storm weakens as soon as it falls, for it no longer feeds on warm water. But it continues to lose rain as it nears land, which could lead to flooding throughout the south and east.
Forecasters can accurately predict storms in advance, giving local and regional governments the necessary information to inform people about migration; these models work, and they save countless lives. But climate change brings new challenges in imitation, as it changes the nature of hurricanes. “Many of our forms of prediction do not work in the future,” Misra said. “That’s why it has a big problem in planning to reduce the severity of the storm.”
Today’s potential dangers of natural disasters also make it difficult for citizens to be aware of their vulnerability. “People have high expectations based on their past experiences, and this is not uncommon for people,” says Ann Bostrom, a risk-related analyst at the University of Washington. “A hurricane or wildfire is more widespread than ever before.” A person who may have stayed at the home of one of the victims 20 years ago – either because he refused to leave or had no solution – may find himself in serious danger today.
While the increase in hurricane season is dangerous for everyone, it is far worse for people who have no money to get out quickly. “Most people who live along the coast are very rich or very poor,” says Kyle Burke Pfeiffer, director of the National Preparedness Analytics Center at Argonne National Laboratory. And for the poor, he continues, “they either don’t have access to a car, or they don’t have the money or the ability to leave work or housing. And, most of the time, they live in houses that aren’t designed to support foreign goods.”
California has a similar problem: Coastal tree trees have forced many people in the east to venture into the wild, where cities meet the jungle. Paradise is one of the towns, as is South Lake Tahoe. “I have a lot of people in these areas – and that [the areas are] dryness — leads to increased lighting near areas, “says Cova, of the University of Utah. and walking fast. “This affects relocation, because the time available may be less than you need, as it was in Paradise.” Retirees, in particular, flock to these places, but any seniors with mobility problems find it difficult to escape as the fire approaches.
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