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Development will only suffer if people have more children. Therefore he said Tesla boss Elon Musk last month. A few others also worry about overcrowding. Concerns about “child abuse” intensified last year, as the epidemic saw a sharp decline in the number of births in many countries. But the latest developments are showing an increase in fertility beyond what many experts have predicted.
To be honest, the predictions of pundits about quick births when couples were unstable at home during the closure were not what was expected. Birth rates have dropped dramatically in many lands. In Spain, births plummeted fifth in December 2020, until the lowest number ever recorded.
No wonder. Covid-19 caused panic and economic insecurity. It divided families and made it difficult for singles to get along. In addition, there is a record of declining birth rates after epidemics, economic downturns and other difficulties. The decline in total household income was to follow on declining birth risks in four-fifths between 1980 and 2008.
Such a descent can be extended. In 1917-20 the Spanish flu, each new wave of the virus brought another decline at the next birth. The financial crisis of the 1930’s confirmed that the children of the Great Depression were a very small group.
In some lands this epidemic continues to push the regeneration process. South Korea has recently stated that its fertility rate, which is the lowest in the world, is expected to fall sharply.
But a recent UN study reports that the short-term decline was followed by a return to pre-epidemic levels and what is happening in many countries. The downturn has been longer than the previous difficulties.
This seems to reflect economic growth, thanks to government support for laid-off and unemployed workers in many areas. The correlation between unemployment in the US and declining birth rates was half strong as was the case in 2007-2009, according to the Washington-based Brookings Institution. He estimated that a 1 percent increase in the unemployment rate was associated with a 0.5 percent decrease in the birth rate.
The impact of this epidemic on fertility cannot be fully addressed until the current generation of girls is over the age of childbearing. Only then will the number, rather than time, of birth be clear. But it is already clear that the decline in fertility from Covid is much lower and deeper than in the past.
Lex’s team wants to hear more from readers. Please give us your feedback on birth rates in the comments section below
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