‘Kutha kwa miyoyo’: Kodi Boris Johnson ali pachiwopsezo chotani?

“Zili ngati kalendala yoipa kwambiri padziko lonse ya kubwera,” anadandaula motero MP wina wa Conservative. “Tsiku lililonse timatsegula chitseko ndipo pamakhala vuto lina.”

Kwa milungu ingapo, Boris Johnson wakhala akuyenda kuchokera pamavuto ena kupita ku ena – kuyambira pazabodza zachipani cha Conservative, mpaka zonena za maphwando achinsinsi a Khrisimasi ku Downing Street chaka chatha motsutsana ndi chitsogozo chokhazikika cha Covid choperekedwa ndi boma, mpaka pakukula kwa matenda. kuchokera ku mtundu watsopano wa Omicron.

Kenako Lachisanu m’mawa Prime Minister adadzuka kuti North Shropshire, gawo la Tory England loyimiridwa ndi aphungu a Conservative kuyambira pomwe Mfumukazi Victoria asanakhale pampando wachifumu, idagwa.

M’bandakucha m’malo odyetserako ziweto komanso matauni ang’onoang’ono abwino kumalire a England/Wales, kuchuluka kwa ngozi zachisankho mu zisankho zanyumba yamalamulo kudawonekera, pomwe ovota adadzudzula modabwitsa Johnson ndi unduna wake womwe udachita ngozi komanso wachipwirikiti.

Ambiri mwa 23,000 adasinthidwa usiku umodzi kukhala zinyalala ndi a Liberal Democrats, chipani chomwe m’mbuyomu chinali ndi aphungu 12 okha. “Ovota atumiza uthenga womveka bwino kwa Prime Minister: chipani chatha,” atero Sir Ed Davey, chipani chake chitatha kulembetsa anthu 6,000.

Pambuyo pakutha koyipa kwa 2021, aphungu ena a Conservative afika pamalingaliro omwewo.

Mwamwayi Johnson, ambiri mwa aphungu ake abalalika sabata ino kuchokera ku Westminster kupita kumadera awo pa Khrisimasi, kuchepetsa chiwopsezo chaposachedwa cha chiwembu chotsutsana ndi utsogoleri wake. Koma akuwotcha mwachangu kudzera mu likulu la ndale. Monga momwe nduna ina inanenera: “PM sayenera kumva kukhala wosungika ngakhale pang’ono. Ayenera kuda nkhawa kuti chinachake sichikuyenda bwino.”

Patadutsa zaka ziwiri kuchokera pachigonjetso chachikulu pachisankho chachikulu komanso patatha chaka atapeza mgwirizano wamalonda pambuyo pa Brexit, Johnson akuvulala kwambiri panthawi yopuma ya Khrisimasi, kuvomereza kwake kwatsika kwambiri komanso kuti chipani chake chili pachiwopsezo: 99 Ma MP sabata ino adavotera motsutsana ndi ndondomeko yake ya Covid, patangotha ​​ola limodzi atawachonderera kuti amuthandize.

Kumbuyo kwake mu 2021 pali njira ya zolakwa zomwe adadzipangira yekha. The Shropshire fiasco idangochitika Johnson atayesa ndikulephera kupulumutsa ntchito ya MP wa Tory Owen Paterson, yemwe adakumana ndi vuto la “sleaze”, pophwanya malamulo pamalamulo anyumba yamalamulo. Paterson anasiya ntchito m’chipwirikiti chotsatira.

Masabata awiri apitawa awona Johnson akutsanulira mafuta pamalawi a malipoti oti antchito ake ku Downing Street anali ndi phwando la Khrisimasi chaka chatha pomwe dzikolo lidakumana ndi zoletsa za Covid. Johnson adakana kuti phwandolo lidachitika – kudzutsa mafunso okhudza kudziwa kwake chowonadi – asanalamule mochedwa kuti afufuze kuti adziwe zomwe zidachitika.

Chaka chamawa chimapereka chizindikiro chochepa cha mpumulo wandale. Pomwe dzikolo likukhalabe ndi mliri womwe ukukulirakulira, aphungu ambiri a Tory amatsutsa kupititsa patsogolo ziletso za Covid. Chiwongola dzanja sabata ino chinayamba kukwera ndipo kukwera kwa mitengo kwadutsa 5 peresenti; Mtengo wamavuto omwe udzakulirakulira mu Epulo pomwe boma la Johnson likweza misonkho kupita kumlingo wawo wapamwamba kwambiri kuyambira 1950.

Pakadali pano zotsatira zazachuma za Brexit zikugwirizana ndi Johnson, zomwe zimamulepheretsa kukula, malonda ndi ndalama zamisonkho zomwe zikanamupangitsa kukhala womasuka kwambiri kuti achoke m’mavuto. Ubale ndi EU udakali wovuta.

Chodabwitsa kwa Johnson, akuwoneka kuti samadziwa zavuto lomwe ali nalo ndi chipani chake. Pambuyo popempha aphungu kuti avotere mfundo zake za Covid sabata ino, nduna ina idatsimikizira atolankhani kuti kupanduka kwa Tory kunali “kutaya magazi”. Patatha ola limodzi aphungu 99 adavotera Prime Minister, kuchititsa khungu Nambala 10.

“Tsopano muli chipani m’chipani,” adatero mkulu wina wa Tory pambuyo pa voti ya Commons. Steve Baker, yemwe kale anali nduna, anagwira mawu Aroma kwa zigawenga zinzake mu uthenga wa pa WhatsApp, wowalimbikitsa kusonyeza ulemu pamene akunyoza nduna yaikulu: “Ngati mdani wako ali ndi njala, umdyetse; ngati ali ndi ludzu, ummwetse; Pochita izi, udzaunjika makala amoto pamutu pake.

Prime Minister ndiye wopambana pachisankho. Wapereka Brexit ku chipani chake cha Eurosceptic ndipo pempho lake lodziwika bwino likufika kumadera ena aku Britain omwe ma Tories ena sangathe kufikira. Koma ali ndi nthawi yochepa yotsimikizira kuti matsenga akadalipo. “Akutha moyo,” akutero MP wina wa Tory.

The Omicron factor

Pakugwa kwa mkangano wa Shropshire, limodzi mwamavuto a Johnson ndikuti mkwiyo wamaphwando ndi sleaze ukuphatikizana ndi mafunso akulu okhudza mfundo komanso malangizo a boma lake.

Ngakhale aphungu ochepa omwe atsala ku Westminster, nduna yayikulu ikadali pachiwopsezo choyandikira ngati kufalikira kwa mitundu ya Omicron – yomwe ili ndi matenda atsopano kuwirikiza kawiri kapena masiku atatu aliwonse, zomwe zikupangitsa kuti milandu yopitilira 93,000 yatsiku ndi tsiku – imufunike kuti akhazikitse ziletso zatsopano. . Izi zitha kumupangitsa kuti ayambenso kukangana ndi aphungu a Tory omwe amawatsutsa. Johnson walonjeza kuti akumbukira nyumba yamalamulo ngati angapange njira zatsopano.

Koma kufunitsitsa kwa Prime Minister kuyika ma diktats aboma pa Covid kwadzetsa chipwirikiti pakati pa a MP a Tory, ena omwe akuwona kuti Johnson ali wokonzeka kutsogolera dziko lalikulu, kutali ndi masomphenya a Thatcherite omwe amakonda.

Liz Truss, mlembi wakunja yemwe amatsogolera zisankho zodziwika bwino pakati pa omenyera ufulu wawo ndipo akuwoneka ngati wopikisana naye wa Johnson, sanena mobisa za kupembedza kwake kwa Thatcher, kuphatikiza posachedwapa pa thanki ku Estonia, akufanana ndi Iron Lady wotchuka. chithunzi. “Njira ya Liz ndiyo kuoneka ngati Thatcher ndi kunena kwambiri ‘ufulu’,” akutero MP wina wa Tory.

Pokhumudwitsa a Tory rightwingers, Brexit sanatulutse msonkho wochepa, malamulo otsika “Singapore pa Thames” omwe ena ankafuna – ndi omwe ambiri mu EU amawopa. M’malo mwake, pansi pa Johnson, mitengo yamisonkho yamakampani ikukwera kuchoka pa 19 peresenti kufika pa 25 peresenti kuthandiza kuthandizira ndalama zambiri zaboma, makamaka kumpoto kwa England.

Ndipo mosasamala kanthu kuti Johnson adalankhula molimba mtima kuti Brexit ibweretsa kukulitsa kwakukulu kwamalonda – “pali doko, sitimayo imakweza matanga ake, mphepo imakhala pansi” adatero polankhula ku Greenwich chaka chatha – zenizeni ndi zenizeni. mosiyana.

Ofesi yodziyimira payokha ya Budget Responsibility ikukakamira kuyerekeza kwake kwa 2016 kuti “zonse zaku UK ndi zotumiza kunja zidzatsika ndi 15 peresenti kuposa momwe tidakhalira ku EU”. Britain sabata ino idachita mgwirizano wamalonda ndi Australia zomwe, malinga ndi zomwe boma la UK likuganiza, zitha kuwonjezera 0.01-0.02 peresenti ku GDP.

“Sikoyenera kuyika pachiwopsezo mwayi wopita ku [EU] msika umodzi chifukwa cha malonda apadziko lonse lapansi, “adalemba David Frost, yemwe anali mtsogoleri wa Scotch Whisky Association, mu kabuku koiwalika ka 2016, akutsutsa kuti msika umodzi ukhoza kukhala wokwanira 5 peresenti ya GDP. Lord Frost tsopano ndi nduna ya Johnson ya Brexit, wamkulu wotembenuza mwayi wamoyo kunja kwa EU.

Pakadali pano, pafupifupi chaka kuchokera ku Johnson’s Khrisimasi 2020 “mafupa opanda mafupa” a Brexit achita malonda ndi EU, OBR ikuwona kutayika kwa 4% kwa ndalama zadziko pakanthawi kochepa chifukwa cha Brexit. Pamapeto pake, ndalamazo zingafikire ndalama zokwana £100bn pachaka monga ndalama zomwe dziko linkapeza kapena £1,500 pa munthu aliyense pachaka; malisiti amisonkho akhoza kukhala £40bn kutsika.

Covid akuwononga chuma chaboma ku Britain komanso Johnson adadzipereka kugwiritsa ntchito ndalama zambiri “kukweza” chuma chosagwirizana ndi Britain, kugunda kwachuma kwa Brexit kuli ndi zotsatira zandale za Johnson, kukakamiza misonkho ndikubwereka. “Ngati wina akuganiza kuti Brexit ipititsa patsogolo ntchito ya a Thatcherite, ayenera kutayidwa,” atero a David Gauke, nduna yakale ya Tory.

‘Ngati akuwoneka ngati wopambana, timuthandizira’

Johnson alowa mu 2022 ndi phwando lomwe lakhudzidwa ndi magawano komanso kukhumudwa ndi Prime Minister.

“Wakwanitsa kukwiyitsa aliyense,” akutero nduna ina yakale ya nduna. Rightwingers akudandaula njira yayikulu ya boma la Johnson ndi njira ya Covid; centrist Tory MP, akadali anzeru pa Brexit, sakonda mawonekedwe a nduna ndi kunyoza msonkhano wandale; Aphungu osankhidwa kumene a Tory kumpoto akuwona kuti sakuwaperekera: Johnson posachedwapa anataya njanji yothamanga kwambiri yochokera ku London kupita ku Leeds.

Koma ngakhale otsutsa ake akuluakulu amavomereza kuti Johnson ali ndi kuthekera kotsimikizika kuti abwerere. Nthawi ina adachotsedwa ntchito ngati mtolankhani chifukwa cholemba mawu ndipo adachotsedwa ntchito ngati wolankhulira Tory chifukwa chonama za chibwenzi chakunja. Koma pambuyo pake adakhala meya wa London, mzinda womwe udalamulidwa ndi Labor, asadatsogolere kampeni yopambana ya Brexit ndikupereka mipando 80 pazisankho zazikulu za 2019.

“Ngati akuwonekabe ngati wapambana, tidzamuthandiza,” akutero mkulu wina wa MP wa Conservative. Ngati satero, mapeto ake adzakhala achangu komanso ankhanza. Johnson wakhala akulandira malangizo ambiri amomwe angasinthire zinthu. Adakumana ndi aphungu angapo a Tory sabata ino omwe adamulimbikitsa kuti asinthe ena mwa alangizi ake ku Downing Street ndikusintha kasamalidwe ka chipani komwe kukuwoneka kuti kwalephera kuwongolera chipani chanyumba yamalamulo.

“Ayenera kuchotsa anthu achisanu ndi chimodzi omwe akuwoneka kuti akuyendetsa zinthu ndi kupeza munthu wolemera kwambiri kuti amuthandize,” adatero phungu wina yemwe anakumana ndi nduna yaikulu sabata ino ndikupempha kuti asinthe. “Boris akuyenera kuyang’aniridwa.”

Othandizira a Johnson amachepetsa kuthekera kwa kugwedezeka kulikonse kwamkati. Zowonadi ena amatsutsa kuti vuto si gulu la nduna yaikulu koma mphunzitsi mwiniwake – wandale yemwe akuwoneka kuti akusangalala ndi chipwirikiti. Komabe momwe zinthu zilili sizilinso zokwanira kwa a MP a Tory, omwe adawona koyambirira kwa Lachisanu ku Shropshire chisonyezo cha tsoka lazisankho pokhapokha Johnson atasintha zinthu.

Paul Goodman, yemwe kale anali MP wa Tory komanso mkonzi wa webusayiti ya ConservativeHome activists, akuti: “Pali lingaliro kuti Covid ndi Brexit ali ndi mwayi waukulu wokonzanso. Mantha pakati pa aphungu ambiri a Conservative MP ndi omenyera ufulu ndikuti ndi ‘bizinesi monga mwanthawi zonse’.

Malipoti owonjezera a Sebastian Payne